Skip to main content

Confirmation Bias

In some online debates I have encountered what appear to be a number of different cognitive biases.

The latest is the confirmation bias in which people favour evidence that supports their assertions while ignoring or suppressing evidence that undermines their position.



Here's the wiki introduction:
Confirmation bias (also called confirmatory bias or myside bias) is a tendency of people to favor information that confirms their beliefs or hypotheses.[Note 1][1] People display this bias when they gather or remember information selectively, or when they interpret it in a biased way. The effect is stronger for emotionally charged issues and for deeply entrenched beliefs. For example, in reading about current political issues, people usually prefer sources that affirm their existing attitudes. They also tend to interpret ambiguous evidence as supporting their existing position. Biased search, interpretation and memory have been invoked to explain attitude polarization (when a disagreement becomes more extreme even though the different parties are exposed to the same evidence), belief perseverance (when beliefs persist after the evidence for them is shown to be false), the irrational primacy effect (a greater reliance on information encountered early in a series) and illusory correlation (when people falsely perceive an association between two events or situations).
A series of experiments in the 1960s suggested that people are biased toward confirming their existing beliefs. Later work re-interpreted these results as a tendency to test ideas in a one-sided way, focusing on one possibility and ignoring alternatives. In certain situations, this tendency can bias people's conclusions. Explanations for the observed biases include wishful thinking and the limited human capacity to process information. Another explanation is that people show confirmation bias because they are weighing up the costs of being wrong, rather than investigating in a neutral, scientific way.
Confirmation biases contribute to overconfidence in personal beliefs and can maintain or strengthen beliefs in the face of contrary evidence. Poor decisions due to these biases have been found in military, political, and organizational contexts.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias 
I wanted to highlight this bias because I noticed it among some Traditional Catholics, but also some Protestants.  I believe it manifests itself as 'proof texting'.

In order to fight this bias, it is important to consider how different information contradicts our desired position.  A good start is in reading entire passages in order to correctly establish the contextual meaning of a statment.



Comments

Popular posts from this blog

The Curious Case of Steve Skojec and the Dangers of Deep Diving into the Crisis Sub-Titled: The Failings of Others

 + JMJ It's been a while now since Steve Skojec sold 1P5 and abandoned the Catholic Faith. I've been a 'Trad' since 1982 and in those 40+ years I seen this death-spiral before with a similar end point. It seems that anyone who jumps into the fray unprepared for the enormous task of righting wrongs will, eventually, become discouraged by not the task but the people who surround them.   I remember when Skojec complained of the treatment his family received from a traditional priest.  This seems to have been the start of the end for him. So what can we learn from the likes of Steve Skojec, Michael Voris (maybe?), Louie Verrecchio, Gerry Matatix and other celebrity Catholics? Probably quite a lot about what not to do. First, don't burn out on the crisis?  When you burn out, on work or anything else, little things assume a more greater importance than they are due.   This is one of my 'canary in the coal mine' signals that I've been stretching myself too th...

SSPX: Novena for the Election of the Sovereign Pontiff Day 1

 + JMJ NOVENA FOR THE ELECTION OF THE SUPREME PONTIFF From April 28th to May 6th, 2025 As the conclave for the election of a new Sovereign Pontiff is imminent, the Superior General of the Society of Saint Pius X invites the entire Society and the lay faithful to invoke the Holy Ghost through a novena of prayers, which will take place from Monday, April 28 to Tuesday, May 6. This novena will consist of the Veni Creator Spiritus, to which will be added the collect from the votive Mass for the election of a Sovereign Pontiff and three invocations. The Latin/English text of the novena is included below. Courtesy of FSSPX.News:  Novena for the Election of the Sovereign Pontiff | FSSPX News

SSPX and the Resistance - A Comparison Of Ecclesiology

Shining the light of Church Teaching on the doctrinal positions of the SSPX and the Resistance. Principles are guides used to aid in decision making.  It stands to reason that bad principles will lead to bad decisions. The recent interactions between Rome and the SSPX has challenged a number of closely held cultural assumptions of people in both sides of the disagreement. This has resulted in cultural skirmishes in both Rome and the SSPX. Since it is the smaller of the two, the skirmishes have been more evident within the SSPX.  The cultural fault-line that Bishop Fellay crossed appears to be linked to two points of Catholic Doctrine: Ecclesiology and Obedience.  The cultural difference of view points is strong enough that it has resulted in the expulsion of a number of members.  It should also be noted that some other priests expelled since the beginning of the latest interactions (starting in 2000) held the same view points and have joined with the l...

Morning and Evening and other sundry Prayers

+ JMJ Along the theme of P^3 (Prayer, Penance, Patience), and for my own reference ... here is a collection of Morning and Evening prayers from the Ideal Daily Missal along with some additional prayers. In this crisis of the Church, I do not think it is possible to do too much prayer, penance and have patience. P^3

EXCLUSIVE: Interview with Bishop Athanasius Schneider - Rorate Caeli

+ JMJ Rorate has published excerpts of an interview here .  The full interview is linked on their post. P^3 Of the many confirming statements one caught my attention: Neocathecumenal Way is a Protestant-Jewish community Mr. Fülep:  While the tradition is persecuted , there are some  new modern movements  which are highly supported. One of them is the community of Kiko. What is your opinion about the  Neocatechumenal Way ? [11]